If you’re hearing more about Nebraska’s “blue dot,” you’re not alone. This small but powerful part of Nebraska, centered around Omaha, is the only place in the state where Democrats have a real shot at winning against Republicans. It’s become a key area where Democrats think they can challenge Donald Trump’s influence.
What makes this “Blue Dot” so special?
Most of Nebraska is Republican, but the 2nd Congressional District, which includes Omaha, is different. It’s more urban and has more college-educated voters. That gives Democrats a better chance there than in the rest of the state.
Nebraska is one of just two states that splits its electoral votes by district. That means the winner in the 2nd District can earn one electoral vote—even if the rest of the state votes for someone else. That’s what happened in 2024: Trump won Nebraska overall, but Vice President Kamala Harris won the blue dot.
A mayor’s race that feels bigger than local politics
On Tuesday, voters in Omaha are choosing their next mayor. The seat is officially nonpartisan, but politics still matter. Democrat John Ewing Jr., a former deputy police chief and now county treasurer, is running against Republican Jean Stothert, the city’s three-term mayor.
Stothert made history in 2013 as Omaha’s first female mayor. Now, Ewing is hoping to make history as the city’s first Black mayor. While both are talking about local issues—like housing, police, and business development—there’s no ignoring the national political energy behind the race.
Ewing has criticized Stothert for supporting Trump. In return, Stothert has accused Ewing of being too far left. Their campaigns have traded ads and accusations, but at the heart of it, the race is a sign of how national politics is shaping even city elections.
Why democrats are watching closely
This race is more than just a local election. It’s a test for Democrats. They want to see if voters are turning away from Trump. That’s why the Democratic National Committee (DNC) is pouring money and support into the race—sending texts, running ads, and knocking on doors.
Democrats hope this energy will carry into 2026, when Republican Don Bacon could face a tough re-election fight for Congress in the same district. It’s one of the few places in the country where people split their votes, choosing a Democrat for president and a Republican for Congress.
Can Ewing Win? Can the Blue Dot grow?
Ewing says he’s trying to show voters that local elections matter. He wants young people to feel inspired and believes his win could give them hope.
But Stothert is still a strong opponent. She’s raised more money and built support across party lines over the last 12 years. Even some Republicans admit this race will be close.
For now, Omaha—and its blue dot—is one of the most closely watched spots in American politics. What happens there might be a sign of what’s to come across the country.
