Goodbye to summer bonanza: airlines worry Real ID, Trump and the economy could stop passengers flying

Why Real ID, political uncertainty, and the economy could shrink summer air travel

Modified on:
May 22, 2025 2:09 pm

Hey, so you know how summer is usually the best time for airlines? It’s when a lot of people travel for vacations, and airlines make a lot of money. But this year, things look different. Airlines started 2025 thinking they’d have a great summer, but a bunch of problems have popped up that have made people less interested in flying.

Delays and safety worries

 First, there have been a lot of flight delays and cancellations. Some of this comes from air traffic control issues—basically, the people who guide planes in the sky and on the ground have had some technical problems. That’s made flying less smooth and more stressful

On top of that, back in January, there was a really bad plane crash in the U.S., one of the worst in decades. That scared a lot of people and made them think twice about flying. Even after that crash, there have been other incidents, like a crash in Canada that didn’t kill anyone but still worried people, and some close calls between planes. So, safety worries are definitely on travelers’ minds.

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Economic troubles and political tensions are affecting travel

Then there’s the economy. The dollar has dropped in value because of trade fights and other financial problems. That means if you want to travel overseas, it’s getting more expensive. And foreigners who might want to visit the U.S. are staying away, partly because of concerns about the Trump administration’s policies and immigration rules.

New development to aid air travel

 There’s a new rule called the “Real ID” requirement. Starting soon, you need a special kind of ID, like a Real ID driver’s license or a passport, to get through airport security. Some people don’t have it yet and might avoid flying until they get it because it can take weeks to upgrade their ID.

All these things together are making airlines worry. Usually, summer is when they make the most money, but this year, it might be a lot weaker. Some experts even call it a “perfect storm” because so many different problems are hitting the airlines at once.

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Because of this, airlines aren’t as optimistic as they were before. Instead of adding more flights, they’re cutting some routes and being careful with money. Airline stocks have dropped a lot since the crash in January.

On top of safety and delays, people just don’t feel confident about the economy. Surveys show that fewer Americans plan to fly in the next six months compared to earlier this year. And international travel is down a lot too, which is a big deal because it usually brings in a lot of profits.

Final thoughts 

So, if you’re thinking about flying this summer, just know the airlines are facing some serious challenges. It might mean higher prices, more delays, and fewer choices in flights. But don’t worry—airlines have been through tough times before, like after 9/11 or the pandemic. They’ll get through this, too, but this summer might be bumpier than usual.

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Lawrence Udia
Lawrence Udiahttps://polifinus.com/author/lawrence-u/
I am a journalist specializing in delivering the latest news on politics, IRS updates, retail trends, SNAP payments, and Social Security. My role involves monitoring developments in these areas, analyzing their impact on everyday Americans, and ensuring readers are informed about significant changes that could affect their lives.

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